Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 185.306724 219.991117 262.351235 318.906167 394.052081 4.929519e+02 6.374546e+02
2025-02-09 138.568792 178.007829 232.202013 315.505778 447.286042 6.622118e+02 1.077987e+03
2025-02-16 116.376030 157.174034 217.736419 320.462223 505.886544 8.678175e+02 1.786755e+03
2025-02-23 101.675142 142.485964 206.702373 324.448034 561.944322 1.108719e+03 2.962068e+03
2025-03-02 91.631185 132.411916 199.824530 332.195028 628.197618 1.433333e+03 5.280426e+03
2025-03-09 83.303102 123.401841 192.427042 336.082822 688.286160 1.814362e+03 9.862477e+03
2025-03-16 74.824712 112.764583 179.955502 325.775568 708.829126 2.104250e+03 1.695833e+04
2025-03-23 70.889541 109.263899 179.828109 341.932595 811.487207 2.902502e+03 5.385859e+04
2025-03-30 64.277562 100.166439 167.395368 326.332389 810.888675 3.228962e+03 1.193686e+05
2025-04-06 60.488720 95.711155 163.427850 330.203964 878.459812 4.155702e+03 1.048858e+06
2025-04-13 56.693030 90.803100 157.765475 328.310346 926.012401 5.149537e+03 NaN
2025-04-20 55.169380 89.977304 160.489026 349.573222 1083.812984 8.096141e+03 NaN
2025-04-27 54.898380 91.923711 170.482505 398.380082 1444.625642 1.994040e+04 NaN
2025-05-04 51.202416 86.698709 163.527715 394.302800 1540.714784 3.088487e+04 NaN
2025-05-11 48.548657 83.276679 160.211372 401.089516 1721.234043 6.190518e+04 NaN
2025-05-18 46.121131 80.042321 156.796546 406.546743 1912.966947 1.500017e+05 NaN
2025-05-25 44.172203 77.598481 154.932451 417.178041 2179.604175 6.986025e+05 NaN
2025-06-01 42.187566 74.867359 151.898841 422.525667 2427.646675 1.702430e+07 NaN
2025-06-08 39.649840 70.699561 144.536269 408.366201 2460.074072 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 38.653772 69.833962 145.815778 430.587426 2986.245896 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 36.269725 65.662430 137.566288 409.129641 2905.466326 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 34.948578 63.788912 135.431958 414.442541 3246.171724 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 33.490414 61.485575 131.801122 411.842933 3476.791654 NaN NaN